China & East Asia's Economies
The Belt and Road Initiative
China's global programme of infrastructure lending and investment, what it has built, and the debates over debt and influence.
In 2013, China’s President Xi Jinping announced what became known as the Belt and Road Initiative, or BRI. It is a vast programme of infrastructure investment and lending across Asia, Africa, Europe and Latin America, aiming to improve connectivity and trade links with China.
What it involves
The name refers to two parts: a land-based “Silk Road Economic Belt” through Central Asia to Europe, and a sea-based “Maritime Silk Road” connecting ports across Asia, Africa and Europe. In practice, it has come to include many kinds of projects:
- Railways, roads and bridges.
- Ports and shipping terminals.
- Power plants and energy pipelines.
- Telecommunications networks.
Over 140 countries have signed agreements linked to the initiative. Chinese state banks, such as the China Development Bank and the Export-Import Bank of China, have been the main lenders.
Benefits
Supporters point out that many developing countries have large infrastructure gaps, and Western lenders were often unwilling to fund big projects. BRI projects have delivered railways, ports and power plants that can boost trade and growth. Research by AidData and others has found Chinese-funded infrastructure can increase economic activity in the areas where it is built.
Concerns
- Debt sustainability: some countries borrowed heavily and struggled to repay.
- Transparency: loan terms were often confidential, making it hard to assess risks.
- Project quality and environmental impact.
- Influence: critics argue lending increases China’s political leverage.
Sri Lanka borrowed from China to build a port at Hambantota. The port struggled to earn enough revenue, and in 2017 Sri Lanka leased it to a Chinese state company for 99 years in exchange for about 1.1 billion dollars. The case became a symbol of "debt trap" concerns, though researchers have noted that the lease money was used to address Sri Lanka's wider debt problems and that the port was not seized to repay its own loan.
Changes over time
Chinese lending peaked around the mid-2010s and has since declined. China has increasingly emphasised smaller, “small and beautiful” projects and has taken part in debt restructurings, such as Zambia’s.
Some projects created serious debt problems, but research has found little evidence of a deliberate strategy to seize assets. Outcomes varied widely depending on project quality, borrowing countries' choices and economic conditions.
- The Belt and Road Initiative, launched in 2013, finances infrastructure around the world.
- It includes railways, ports, power plants and telecoms, mainly funded by Chinese state banks.
- Projects can boost trade and growth but raise concerns about debt and transparency.
- Chinese lending peaked in the mid-2010s and has shifted toward smaller projects.
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