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India's Diagnostics Industry

COVID-19 Testing Boom

How COVID-19 testing created a huge temporary boom for labs in 2020-21, how RT-PCR capacity scaled up, and what happened after demand fell.

COVID-19 transformed diagnostics.

Testing surge

India ran hundreds of millions of RT-PCR and antigen tests.

Capacity

Labs expanded capacity quickly; ICMR approved thousands of labs.

Price caps

States capped RT-PCR prices, which fell sharply over time.

Windfall

Lab chains earned record revenues and profits in 2020-21.

After

  • COVID testing collapsed after 2022.
  • Labs used new capacity and brand awareness for other tests.

Lesson

Demand shocks create windfalls that don’t last.

The RT-PCR queue

In 2021, people queued outside labs for RT-PCR tests needed for travel.

Thinking the COVID testing boom lasted

It faded after 2022.

Key takeaways
  • COVID created a testing surge.
  • Labs expanded capacity.
  • Prices were capped.
  • The boom faded after 2022.
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