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Everyday Economics Puzzles

Why Do Gyms Push Annual Memberships?

How gyms profit from people who overestimate how often they will exercise, based on a famous study of gym attendance.

Gyms eagerly sell annual or monthly memberships, often at a discount compared with paying per visit. Why do they prefer these deals?

The famous study

In 2006, economists Stefano DellaVigna and Ulrike Malmendier published a study titled Paying Not to Go to the Gym. They examined thousands of members at U.S. health clubs and found:

  • Members on monthly contracts paid about 70 dollars a month on average.
  • They visited just over four times a month, on average.
  • So they paid about 17 dollars per visit.
  • Yet the gyms offered a pay-per-visit option costing just 10 dollars.
  • Many members would have saved money by paying per visit.

Members also tended to keep paying for months after they stopped going, before cancelling.

Why people choose memberships

  • Overconfidence: when signing up, people overestimate how often they will go.
  • Present bias: people plan to exercise in the future, but when the day comes, they prefer to relax.
  • Commitment hope: some people hope a membership will motivate them.

Why gyms like it

  • Predictable revenue from memberships.
  • Many members rarely come, so gyms can sell more memberships than their space could handle if everyone came at once.
  • January, after new year resolutions, is often a peak sign-up month, followed by falling attendance.

Similar patterns

  • Subscriptions that people forget to cancel.
  • Unlimited plans for services used less than expected.
  • Online courses bought but never finished.

A smarter approach

  • Track your actual use for a few weeks with a pay-per-visit or short-term plan before committing.
  • Calculate cost per visit.
  • Set reminders to review memberships.
The new year resolution

A student buys an annual gym membership for 12,000 rupees in January, planning to go five times a week. By March, she goes once a week. Her cost per visit rises to over 200 rupees, while a pay-per-visit option would have cost 150. A trial month would have revealed her real habits.

Thinking the cheapest per-visit plan is always the membership

Memberships only save money if you actually use them often. Most people overestimate their future use.

Key takeaways
  • A famous study found gym members paid about 17 dollars per visit when a 10 dollar per-visit option existed.
  • Overconfidence and present bias lead people to overbuy memberships.
  • Gyms benefit from predictable revenue and low usage.
  • Test your real usage before committing to long plans.
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