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The Economy of Iran

Maximum Pressure After 2018

After the US left the nuclear deal in 2018 and reimposed sanctions, Iran's oil exports and currency fell sharply, though it found ways to sell oil, largely to China.

Sanctions returned, tougher.

US exit

The US withdrew in May 2018 and re-imposed sanctions including on oil.

Currency

The rial fell by a huge margin over the following years.

Workarounds

Iran sold oil through discounted deals, using a fleet of tankers and Chinese buyers.

Impact

Living standards fell and inflation was very high.

A discount cargo

Iranian oil finds buyers in China at prices below the market.

Assuming sanctions completely stop trade

Workarounds reduce but do not eliminate it.

Key takeaways
  • The US left the JCPOA in 2018.
  • The rial collapsed.
  • Oil is sold at discounts.
  • Households suffer.
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