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The Middle East & Gulf Economies

Iran's Economy Under Sanctions

How international sanctions have shaped Iran's oil-dependent economy, its high inflation and its currency, and how the economy has adapted.

Iran has one of the world’s largest reserves of oil and natural gas and a large, educated population. Yet its economy has been held back for decades by international sanctions, as well as domestic problems such as a large state sector and high inflation.

Waves of sanctions

The United States has imposed sanctions on Iran since the 1979 revolution. They intensified from the 2000s over Iran’s nuclear programme, and in 2012 the European Union also banned imports of Iranian oil and major Iranian banks were cut off from the international payment system.

In 2015, Iran and major powers agreed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, often called the nuclear deal. Sanctions were eased in 2016, and oil exports rose. In 2018, the United States withdrew from the deal and reimposed sweeping sanctions, pressuring other countries not to buy Iranian oil. Iran’s oil exports fell sharply, though some sales continued, particularly to China.

Economic effects

  • Lower oil revenue, reducing government income and foreign currency.
  • Currency collapse: the rial lost most of its value against the dollar over the following years.
  • High inflation, often above 30 or 40 percent a year.
  • Shortages of some imported goods and medicines, despite humanitarian exemptions.
  • Isolation from international banking, raising the cost of trade.

Adaptation

Iran has adapted by trading through intermediaries, selling oil at discounts, bartering, and developing domestic industries to replace imports. These workarounds keep the economy running but at a cost in efficiency.

Savings in a falling currency

An Iranian family keeps its savings in rials. As the currency loses value and inflation runs high, the savings buy less every year. Many households respond by buying gold, dollars, property or cars as stores of value. These choices protect individual families but can push asset prices up and drain funds from productive investment.

Thinking sanctions hit only the government

Sanctions aim at governments, but ordinary people often bear much of the cost through inflation, job losses and shortages. Economists study these effects to understand the full consequences of sanctions policies.

Key takeaways
  • Iran has huge oil and gas reserves but has faced decades of sanctions.
  • Sanctions eased after the 2015 nuclear deal and returned after the U.S. withdrew in 2018.
  • Effects include lower oil revenue, a collapsing currency, high inflation and shortages.
  • Iran adapted through intermediaries and discounted sales, at a cost in efficiency.
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